Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.068507 0.080917 0.094811 0.111500 0.130988 0.153009 0.179763
2025-05-18 0.051191 0.067760 0.088380 0.115851 0.151414 0.195815 0.255376
2025-05-25 0.038357 0.055530 0.078745 0.112265 0.159247 0.222556 0.314112
2025-06-01 0.030991 0.048329 0.073431 0.112154 0.170069 0.253097 0.380692
2025-06-08 0.025392 0.042271 0.068216 0.110613 0.177693 0.279129 0.443353
2025-06-15 0.022083 0.038959 0.066310 0.113334 0.191499 0.315339 0.525135
2025-06-22 0.018735 0.034892 0.062405 0.111989 0.198253 0.340912 0.592856
2025-06-29 0.015817 0.031002 0.058085 0.109097 0.201699 0.361065 0.653565
2025-07-06 0.013358 0.027483 0.053809 0.105504 0.203177 0.377667 0.709673
2025-07-13 0.012064 0.025948 0.052884 0.107824 0.215464 0.414366 0.805323
2025-07-20 0.010780 0.024202 0.051269 0.108523 0.224661 0.446296 0.895621
2025-07-27 0.009680 0.022646 0.049778 0.109200 0.233788 0.478935 0.990695
2025-08-03 0.008776 0.021390 0.048776 0.110860 0.245356 0.518105 1.104138
2025-08-10 0.008150 0.020662 0.048797 0.114715 0.262030 0.569446 1.248237
2025-08-17 0.007053 0.018629 0.045627 0.111071 0.262099 0.586685 1.323759
2025-08-24 0.006341 0.017406 0.044110 0.110943 0.269865 0.620917 1.439128
2025-08-31 0.005637 0.016074 0.042129 0.109414 0.274188 0.648072 1.541951
2025-09-07 0.005248 0.015501 0.041909 0.112107 0.288724 0.699471 1.704622
2025-09-14 0.004701 0.014397 0.040181 0.110775 0.293347 0.728705 1.819557
2025-09-21 0.004153 0.013186 0.037986 0.107913 0.293778 0.748118 1.913468
2025-09-28 0.003645 0.011996 0.035661 0.104358 0.291951 0.761859 1.995162
2025-10-05 0.003415 0.011607 0.035491 0.106654 0.305723 0.815352 2.180541
2025-10-12 0.003149 0.011059 0.034784 0.107345 0.315281 0.859299 2.346615